The brilliant minds over at Baseball Prospectus keep an ongoing Postseason Odds link up on their website, so basically at any time you can check in and see what you're favorite team's odds are!
How do they compute it? Hell...I don't know. Try reading through all that stuff. I guess they run a million different simulations and then base their odds on that. A million simulations seems like an appropriate number.
Here are the current odds in the NL to reach postseason:
Mets - 68%
Phillies - 30%
Cubs - 99%
Brewers - 78%
Cardinals - 16%
DBacks - 57%
Dodgers - 43%
If you break the Brewers 78% down, they are 72% likely to win the wild card & 6% likely to win the division. So yet again, just another example of how impossible it is for the Brewers not to make the playoffs this year.
An ohhh...the Nationals...yeah their playoff chances are at 0%, along with a few other teams. Enjoy September guys!
We'll check back on this odds report a few more times the rest of the way.