Sunday, November 18, 2007

Bucky Hoops - NIT Bound?

Seth Davis, Badger hater, on in a story posted on Friday:

I know it's folly to underestimate a Bo Ryan-coached team, but I just don't see how Wisconsin is going to score enough points (especially on the perimeter) to reach the NCAA tournament. The good news is, this is a good time to have a down year in the Big Ten.

So Seth is on record that Wisconsin won't reach the NCAA tournament, because they won't score enough points. Although the season is only 4 games old, and the competition has been lackluster, to say the least, let's take a look at UW's scoring (and in particular, perimeter) stats to see if there's anything to Seth's concerns:
  • They are shooting 36.1% from the 3-point arc as a team (not too shabby). Travon Hughes is shooting 50% (10 for 20). Jason Bohannen is shooting 43.8% (7 for 16).
  • Travon Hughes (who, as the PG, must be considered a perimeter scorer) is leading the team in scoring at 19.8 ppg.
  • The Badgers are scoring 82 ppg as a team.

Clearly, it's way too early to say that UW is definitely a NCAA tournament team. You can be assured that UW won't end up averaging 82 points per game on the season. And Travon Hughes won't shoot 50% from downtown, and he won't average 20 points per game for the year.

But I think Davis is going to end up disappointed at the end of the year when the tournament brackets are unveiled and Bucky finds itself in the field. I'm not saying this is a great UW team, but I think it will be better than the experts think...


Garcia said...

Every year I expect Bucky and the Warriors to play some lack-luster games in the beginning of the year. So far the Warriors have lived up to that by beating teams they should kill by only 10-12 points and keeping the game close at half. Bucky on the other hand has impressed me. To absolutely murder these teams, given the fact they could easily play down to their competitions level as in the past, says something about this underrated team. Seth will be wrong and their defense will keep them in every game this year. We'll see what Seth says when Bucky takes down Marquette.

woziszeus said...

Marquette will beat Bucky by 10 this year.

matt said...

Are you betting the farm on that Zeus?

woziszeus said...

Gambling is illegal...

If it were legal, I wouldn't bet the Farm...I would bet my first born.