Friday, February 23, 2007

A (More Convincing) Argument for a No. 1 vs. No. 2 Seed

ESPN ran a nice article that serves as a counterpoint to my unresearched knee-jerk post about my opinion that a No. 2 seed for Wisconsin isn't the worst thing in the world. I'll admit - I can't disagree with Mr. Shelman. Somebody did some nice research for him on the percentages of No. 1 and No. 2 seeds getting to the regional semifinals.

Since the tournament was expanded to 64 teams in 1985, 74 of the 88 top seeds have advanced to at least the regional semifinals (84 percent). Only twice in that period has there been a tournament in which two No. 1 seeds were knocked out on the first weekend. In the same span, 55 of the 88 No. 2 seeds (62.5 percent) have won at least two games. Since 1999, however, only 15 of 32 No. 2 seeds (47 percent) have reached the second weekend.

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